Passing sequences leading to good/big chances inside opposition box

[CroJack]

The Swans have created 26 good chances in their opponents' box so far this season, 20 of which have been big chances, which equates to 4 big chances per game. That's excellent, given that their football has not been particularly good.

The most dangerous Swansea player up front is Harry Darling. He scores goals and creates chances for himself and others.

The player who has to be the first name on the team sheet is Charlie Patino. Fantastic player.

And Grimes is so underrated - he creates a lot of chances from defensive midfield.

Cullen is always in good positions in and around the opposition box, but needs to be more clinical.




Here are all passing sequences leading to good/big chances inside opposition box.

 

[CroJack]

 

[CroJack]

 

[CroJack]

 

[CroJack]

 

[CroJack]

 

[Yankee_Jack]

Based on what your saying, Darling should be started at #9

 

[CroJack]

Based on what your saying, Darling should be started at #9

Of course not. He should play at RCB position and we should get a defensive coach to work with him. If he can improve the defensive part of his game, he will be a great asset. He is so dangerous up front. Our strikers should learn from him how to attack crosses. His timing is excellent.

 

[Yankee_Jack]

I was not intending to demean your analysis in any way; just going where the data seems to point.

We’ve done crazier things. Seems to me that Darling is a wolf in sheep’s clothing … he might well blossom if given the chance up top. He’s not going to get any better at CB. He’s a lot better in the opposition’s box than in ours. His reckless challenge to concede the penalty earlier in the season and the video I posted elsewhere showing him playing for the opposition in a cup game a few years back, demonstrate where his head is at. He doesn’t have the positional discipline and self control to be a top defender.

He does however have the vim and vigor to be a top pain in the rear end #9. And his technical ability appears to be good enough also.

 

[Behindthegoal]

The more I see of him the more I think Tatey2.0

 

[CroJack]

His reckless challenge to concede the penalty earlier in the season and the video I posted elsewhere showing him playing for the opposition in a cup game a few years back, demonstrate where his head is at. He doesn’t have the positional discipline and self control to be a top defender.

I am quite sure that all this can be corrected. I remember when Man City signed John Stones for £47m, he was so bad that everyone said he'd never make it. Pep benched him for almost two years and worked with him behind the scenes to improve him. Now he is a great centre-back.

 

[CroJack]

@Yankee_Jack I think you'll find this one interesting. This chart shows involvment in good/big chances per minute. Lower is better.




Look at the difference between Cullen and Yates!

I have omitted Ginnelly, Allen and Kukharevych. They played less than 100 minutes, so their sample is not significant.

 

[Yankee_Jack]

A picture paints a thousand words.

What this tells me is that Cullen should be the #9 between Lowe and Ginelly, and a #10 behind him should be Grimes. Grimes is playing too deep for all of his talents to be best utilized. Fulton or Allen can pivot in front of the back four (hopefully).

Patino has earned his start ... but how much of his top score comes from the taking of corners versus open play. I'm not a big fan of Paterson and would have Fulton in midfield given that Grimes and Patino start. I have no idea how our new defenders line-up so picking a back 4 at this point will have to wait until our torturous match at Cardiff is done.

Based on his high rating Darling should be playing up front .... just sayin'.

Yates is a trier but a tad lacking at Championship level at the moment for me.

 

[jackodiamonds]

I'm pretty sure Yates was brought in for physicality and energy over technique and flair. Things like pressing, drawing defenders with runs, being a physical nuisance - exactly the same game Jamal Lowe plays. I think Duff wants a double-dose of disruption up front. That's assuming Yates (and the rest of the team) remembers how to run of course.

 

[CroJack]

What's worrying is that our wing-backs are rock bottom when it comes to involvment in either creating or converting big chances. Manning was our most creative player last season.

 

[Yankee_Jack]

I'm pretty sure Yates was brought in for physicality and energy over technique and flair. Things like pressing, drawing defenders with runs, being a physical nuisance - exactly the same game Jamal Lowe plays. I think Duff wants a double-dose of disruption up front. That's assuming Yates (and the rest of the team) remembers how to run of course.

Anytime now would be good.

 

[Yankee_Jack]

What's worrying is that our wing-backs are rock bottom when it comes to involvment in either creating or converting big chances. Manning was our most creative player last season.

before Manning, under Andy Pandy, we had Bidwell and Roberts both being highly creative in those roles

 

[CroJack]

Updated:

This chart shows how many big chances the players have been involved in:

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And this one shows how many minutes the players need to be involved in one big chance (lower is better). As you can see Ginnelly's injury is a big blow.

 

[Yankee_Jack]

We need to see more of Big Myk … more minutes for him over Yates. Is Darling continuing to perform in this metric or slipping back from his early season numbers

 

[CroJack]

We need to see more of Big Myk … more minutes for him over Yates. Is Darling continuing to perform in this metric or slipping back from his early season numbers

All of them have good numbers. There is a huge difference between now and the beginning of the season. More players are now involved in build-up and more players are more creative than before, which means it's difficult for the opposition to figure us out and defend.

This is the chart from our first 5 games (W0 D2 L3). As you can see only 4 players were creative.



And this is now after 11 games: