Championship Round 12 - Expected Goals & Points

[CroJack]

Watford 1 : 2 Swansea

Well, we created better chances and deserved to win this one. Watford were more physical but we played much better football.

xGoals
Watford 1.70 : 2.10 Swansea
Fair Result
Watford 1 : 2 Swansea

Watford blue, Swansea pink

​

Bristol City 0 : 0 Coventry

Not many chances in this game. Pretty even.

xGoals
Bristol City 1.15 : 1.50 Coventry
Fair Result
Bristol City 1 : 1 Coventry


Sheffield United 0 : 1 QPR

Sheffield United just keep creating many chances. QPR not bad at all.

xGoals
Sheffield United 2.80 : 2.10 QPR
Fair Result
Sheffield United 2 : 2 QPR


Luton 3 : 3 Huddersfield

Luton unlucky in this one. Scored two own goals and the referee awarded Huddersfield a dubious penalty.

xGoals
Luton 2.85 : 0.75 Huddersfield
Fair Result
Luton 2 : 0 Huddersfield


Sunderland 0 : 0 Blackpool

Our next opponent Sunderland didn't create much against Blackpool at home turf.

xGoals
Sunderland 1.20 : 1.85 Blackpool
Fair Result
Sunderland 1 : 1 Blackpool


Cardiff 1 : 0 Blackburn

Cardiff lucky here.

xGoals
Cardiff 1.15 : 1.15 Blackburn
Fair Result
Cardiff 1 : 1 Blackburn


Reading 1 : 1 Norwich

Fair result, though Norwich created a little bit more.

xGoals
Reading 1.05 : 1.70 Norwich
Fair Result
Reading 1 : 1 Norwich


Hull 2 : 1 Wigan

Small margins decided the winner in this game.

xGoals
Hull 1.90 : 2.05 Wigan
Fair Result
Hull 1:2 Wigan


Middlesbrough 1 : 0 Birmingham

Again, an even game, and Middlesberough lucky to win it.

xGoals
Middlesbrough 1.80 : 1.65 Birmingham
Fair Result
Middlesbrough 1 : 1 Birmingham


Burnley 1 : 1 Stoke

One more even game, it's fair they shared points.

xGoals
Burnley 1.60 : 1.05 Stoke
Fair Result
Burnley 1 : 1 Stoke


Rotherham 1 : 1 Millwall

Millwall unlucky at Rotherham. Should've won this one.

xGoals
Rotherham 1.05 : 2.30 Millwall
Fair Result
Rotherham 1 : 2 Millwall


Preston 1 : 0 WBA

Preston outplayed WBA at home turf and deservedly took all three points.

xGoals
Preston 2.90 : 1.80 WBA
Fair Result
Preston 2 : 1 WBA

 

[CroJack]

We are second best at creating (high quality) chances
The good news is our attackers have started scoring goals




Improving



We are rock bottom when it comes to
conceding (high quality) chances
Conceded too many against WBA


Thanks to Benda, Cabango and Wood
we haven't conceded too many goals



We have earned 18 xPoints so far

​

 

[CroJack]

18 xPoints and 18 real points
We are exactly there where we should be
Neither lucky nor unlucky

​

 

[Yankee_Jack]

We have QPR and Reading as points over achievers ahead of us in the table. Soft underbelly there.